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From El Salvador To Ecuador, Toilers Resist Effects Of
'Dollarization' by Róger Calero and Maurice Williams [from the U.S. socialist newsweekly The Militant, 26 March 2001 (Vol.65/No.12)]
In face of the instability
and financial crisis faced by semicolonial countries, a number
of capitalist governments in Latin America and the Caribbean
are moving to adopt the dollar as their national currency. This
is being promoted from Washington to Buenos Aires as a way to
curb inflation, attract foreign investment, and curtail devastating
currency fluctuations.
The range of measures being
adopted undercut national sovereignty and limit the ability of
each country to defend itself against sudden shifts and downturns
in the world capitalist economy.
Capitalist investors, government
officials from several countries in Latin America, representatives
from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other bourgeois
figures have held numerous forums and debates on this policy,
often called "dollarization."
"The biggest reason
a country might want to dollarize is that its central bank has
performed poorly, and under the circumstances dollarization is
the most effective way of achieving a sound currency," answered
Kurt Schuler, senior economist at the Joint Economic Committee
of the U.S. Congress.
Over the past year, the governments
in Ecuador and El Salvador have adopted the U.S. dollar as their
official currency. The regime in Guatemala plans to replace its
currency with the dollar on May 1, and the Dominican Republic
as well as some of the English-speaking Caribbean governments
are giving strong consideration to this shift.
For the past decade, the
government in Argentina has pegged the value of its peso at one-to-one
with the U.S. currency, and prominent capitalist politicians
there have advocated adopting the dollar outright. The dollar
has officially circulated in Panama since 1904.
In each case adopting the
dollar has gone hand-in-hand with a government's drive to deepen
its austerity program, accelerate the sell-off of state-owned
industries, and open the country's natural resources more to
imperialist exploitation. Working people are told these measures
are the only alternative to hyperinflation, which can rapidly
wipe out savings and lower the buying power of already meager
wages.
Through a national currency
a government is able to use monetary policy to respond to a variety
of economic developments. These include setting interest rates,
steps to increase or tighten the money supply, measures to raise
or lower the value of the currency, and control individuals'
ability to take money out of the country by purchasing of foreign
currency. Measures such as these can curb currency speculation
and affect the price of imports and exports, thus helping to
boost economic activity or protect domestic markets, for example.
Governments in countries
that completely convert to the dollar and no longer print their
own currency give up the ability to use monetary policy and other
levers to their benefit. All assets, liabilities, and prices
are converted into dollars at the current exchange rate. If the
old currency is still in use, reserves, payable in gold, precious
metals, or U.S. dollars are held against the country's monetary
base. Argentina, for example, holds $15 billion in U.S. Treasury
bills to back the peso.
Washington looks out for
its interests
Washington has made it clear
it will not adjust its policies to suit the needs of countries
that adopt the dollar. "It hardly needs emphasizing that
the [U.S. Federal Reserve Board] will choose monetary policies
based on U.S. conditions, not on the conditions of the dollarizing
country," remarked Jeffrey Sachs, director of the Center
for International Development at Harvard University.
Many in the imperialist ruling
class in the United States and other capitalists favor countries
adopting the dollar as official currency because it eliminates
a range of inconveniences and problems stemming from having to
deal with what can be unpredictable exchange rates or measures
that inhibit maximum ease of imperialist banks, investing firms,
or other corporations moving capital in and out of the country.
The government in El Salvador
christened the dollar as an official currency this past New Year's
Day. Even though the colón will be maintained as
legal tender at a fixed exchange rate of 8.75 colones
to the dollar, government officials say their goal is to replace
it entirely. Carmén de Alemán, vice president of
the Central Reserve Bank of El Salvador, said that the country
only needed $450 million out of its $2 billion reserves to match
the colones in circulation.
"The colones will be
retired out of circulation to the extent that Salvadorans demand
dollars, at the end they will be the ones that will decide what
currency they will use to make their transactions," said
Alemán. As part of its "Monetary Integration Law,"
El Salvador has arranged with the IMF to have access to $35 million
"just in case it is needed," asserted Rafael Barraza,
president of the Central Reserve Bank. The law bars the country's
central bank from issuing more colones.
In El Salvador last month,
the supreme court heard arguments from the Foundation for Studies
for the Application of Law concerning the constitutionality of
the monetary legislation. They have been joined by the Farabundo
Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN). The FMLN's deputies
to the national assembly had tried to get the law overturned
last January.
The opposition's main claim
was that the law was unconstitutional and that the government
should have consulted other political parties. They called for
a plesbicite on replacing the colón with the U.S. dollar
as the country's official currency .
In Argentina, the government
adopted a Convertibility Law in 1991, which established a currency
board system setting the peso at a one-to-one ratio with the
dollar. The law places sharp limits on the printing of money
by the country's central bank in order to keep government-run
banks from going bankrupt. Under Argentina's currency board,
dollars are legal tender along with pesos, and the amount of
pesos in circulation has to be equal to the country's reserves
in dollars.
Despite these moves, Argentina
sank into a deep, 18-month recession in 1995 following the devaluation
of the Mexican peso. There was a run on Argentine banks as the
propertied classes sought to turn in their pesos for U.S. dollars.
The wealthy did not want to be caught with their holdings devalued
in a depreciated currency. Argentine banks lost some 20 percent
of their deposits and capital flight amounted to some $8 billion.
Four years later, the regime
of President Carlos Menem called for abolishing the peso and
replacing it with the U.S. dollar in response to a currency devaluation
in Brazil, Argentina's largest trading partner. A layer of the
ruling class in the country sees this as a way to reduce and
eventually eliminate frequent speculation about devaluation of
the peso.
Stability for profitable
investments
Ruling-class figures in the
United States are debating whether Argentina's currency board
and the dollarization of other Latin American countries is the
"best approach" to ensure stability for profitable
investments. "Sticking to the currency board may condemn
Argentina to a perpetual cycle of boom and bust as its economy
is alternately stimulated and shocked by measures aimed at a
different market," said the editors of the Washington
Post.
Over the past year especially,
Argentine exports have been hit hard because of the strength
of the U.S. dollar on world markets. This helped lead to another
financial crisis late last year. As Argentina teetered on the
brink of defaulting on payments toward its $123 billion debt
owed to U.S. banks and other financial institutions, the IMF
granted a $40 billion "bailout" loan and demanded the
regime impose austerity measures as conditions for the deal.
The reshuffling of the entire
cabinet by President Fernando de la Rúa in early March,
after 32 months of official recession, is the latest sign of
political and economic turmoil in the country. One out of every
four residents of the capital is living below the official poverty
line and about 35,000 small industrial or agricultural companies
have closed over the past decade. Argentina's official unemployment
rate hit 15.4 percent in December.
Ruling-class layers in both
the United States and Argentina worry about whether the regime
is strong enough to push through cutbacks in the face of continued
protests by workers and farmers. These included a 36-hour general
strike last November where millions of workers walked out of
factories, airports, railroads, buses, banks, schools, and government
offices, shutting down the country.
"Fixed foreign exchange
rates have a way of blowing up when the going gets tough,"
warned a December 7 New York Times article on Argentina.
"The fixed rate is supposed to discipline governments, which
learn they cannot simply print money to get around problems and
therefore must make the tough decisions needed for economic stability."
Resistance to austerity
in Ecuador
Resistance to these "tough
decisions" and the capitalist rulers' attempts to impose
"strict fiscal discipline" are what has been at the
center of mobilizations by workers and peasants in Ecuador as
well, where mass actions in February forced the government of
Gustavo Noboa to retreat from a steep increase in the cost of
gasoline, cooking gas, and public transportation. The protests
included farmers blocking roads and thousands of indigenous people
marching in the capital, Quito.
"Noboa, Ecuador's sixth
president in five years, has been weakened by this battle,"
noted the Economist. The two previous Ecuadoran presidents
were forced to resign when they tried to impose similar measures.
Last year the regime in Ecuador
approved legislation replacing the country's national currency,
the sucre, with the dollar at an exchange rate of 25,000 sucres
to the dollar. The government plans to withdraw the last sucre
bills from circulation in March. Along with this move, the government
has pressed austerity policies against workers and peasants to
make the country attractive to foreign investors.
In Ecuador, the price of
the basic food basket went up from $253 in the month of December
to around $270 in January, at the same time that the monthly
minimum income went down. In March last year the average monthly
household income was $52 compared to $193 dollars in 1997.
The transition to the U.S.
currency has also brought some other complications. One concern
of U.S. and local government agencies is the amount of counterfeit
currency circulating in Latin America right now. News reports
indicate many small vendors complain they have been victims of
counterfeit schemes since they are not familiar enough with the
new currency to detect fakes.
Other problems that have
a more direct impact on working people are linked to social ills
such as high levels of poverty and illiteracy that exist in these
countries. In Ecuador, for example, before the dollar was adopted,
the sucre was printed on different colors of paper according
to the denomination. To introduce the dollar the government printed
an instruction book to explain the value of the various denominations,
but many cannot read the book. U.S. coins only have their value
written in English.
Even some capitalist politicians
in Latin America have noted that dollarization infringes on a
country's sovereignty. They point to the fact that in the late
1980s, for example, the U.S. government cut off the supply of
dollars to Panama in its effort to overthrow then President Manuel
Noriega.
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